Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 7.758852 8.584857 9.484047 10.539370 11.748772 13.097048 14.721671
2025-12-14 6.336380 7.366152 8.560913 10.061798 11.914152 14.148223 17.081559
2025-12-21 5.581662 6.706136 8.068084 9.861374 12.194131 15.173814 19.347575
2025-12-28 5.490505 6.804032 8.461191 10.744766 13.873762 18.109417 24.455307
2026-01-04 5.169067 6.560069 8.371385 10.958652 14.655073 19.903273 28.224918
2026-01-11 4.738168 6.125067 7.976115 10.696191 14.714765 20.646698 30.507678
2026-01-18 4.542849 5.985234 7.960199 10.950080 15.527632 22.575127 34.918149
2026-01-25 4.239955 5.669602 7.666792 10.762590 15.640085 23.411649 37.626727
2026-02-01 3.987924 5.405857 7.423778 10.621460 15.797613 24.320408 40.582544
2026-02-08 3.755446 5.153412 7.176448 10.447131 15.874580 25.088207 43.385124
2026-02-15 3.535130 4.904238 6.915334 10.225954 15.845158 25.656043 45.880223
2026-02-22 3.372071 4.729892 6.754899 10.150582 16.050140 26.657103 49.405594
2026-03-01 3.143839 4.450555 6.424286 9.786003 15.743643 26.728792 51.117543
2026-03-08 2.916838 4.161842 6.062980 9.344913 15.262355 26.417594 51.957147
2026-03-15 2.765871 3.982457 5.863798 9.162832 15.232683 26.979116 54.883094
2026-03-22 2.829850 4.142198 6.218780 9.966454 17.125799 31.682326 68.809147
2026-03-29 2.767882 4.096444 6.231466 10.160774 17.863963 34.077621 77.595284
2026-04-05 2.630543 3.921221 6.016412 9.922312 17.712045 34.492301 81.124004
2026-04-12 2.586068 3.895664 6.053348 10.152988 18.540946 37.252857 92.103782
2026-04-19 2.476248 3.756080 5.885449 9.982653 18.510278 37.989118 97.226656
2026-04-26 2.380572 3.635841 5.744807 9.854385 18.556691 38.919193 103.242845
2026-05-03 2.286151 3.513563 5.594185 9.695884 18.521198 39.640769 108.799731
2026-05-10 2.190877 3.385875 5.427650 9.494691 18.371653 40.051230 113.426553